6.8

🔬 Analysis Methods

Chart intervals & multi-timeframe, Andrews Pitchfork, pivot points and the relative strength concept

1. Chart Intervals & Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Every trader operates on a time interval — but very few check what the higher-level interval is saying. The top-down principle solves this problem: first understand the primary trend, then look for the setup, then fine-tune the entry.

Which Interval for Which Style?

StyleAnalysis ChartSetup ChartEntry Chart
Intraday60 Min15 Min5 Min
Swing (2–10 days)WeeklyDaily4 Hours
Position (weeks/months)MonthlyWeeklyDaily

The Top-Down Principle

  1. Weekly chart: Where is the primary trend? Upward, sideways, or downward?
  2. Daily chart: Where is the specific setup — breakout, pullback, base formation?
  3. Hourly chart: Where exactly is the entry with a tight stop?
Iron Rule: Never enter against the higher-level trend. A long setup on the daily chart is only valid if the weekly chart shows an intact uptrend. If it does not, it is a counter-trend trade — higher error rate, tighter stop required.

Practical tip: Always open at least two charts side by side (weekly + daily). Charting platforms like TradingView support this with a split screen. Looking at only one chart means seeing only part of the picture.

2. Andrews Pitchfork

The Andrews Pitchfork (developed by Alan Andrews) is a trend-channel tool that constructs a median channel using three pivot points. It shows where price is statistically likely to return to the center — and where the extreme zones lie.

Construction: The A-B-C Method

  1. Point A: A prominent high or low (the starting point of the pitchfork)
  2. Point B: The next significant counter-low (if A was a high)
  3. Point C: The next high after B (higher than B, but below A)

The median (center line) runs from A through the midpoint of B–C. The upper and lower lines run parallel through B and C respectively.

Signals at the Pitchfork

SituationSignalAction
Price tests median from belowResistanceShort setup or take profits
Price tests median from aboveSupportLong setup
Price reaches upper lineUpper extreme zoneCaution on longs, possible rebound back to median
Price breaks below lower lineStructure breakRedraw pitchfork, trend broken
Core Principle: Markets have a tendency to revert to the mean (mean reversion). The pitchfork makes this center of gravity visible. If price holds the median as support, the trend is intact. If it breaks below, caution is warranted.

Pitchforks work best in trending markets with clear swing points. During sideways phases they lose their predictive value — in those cases, use classic horizontal support/resistance levels instead.

3. Pivot Points

Pivot points are calculated price levels derived from the previous trading day. They are among the most widely used tools among professional traders — because many market participants watch them simultaneously, they acquire a self-fulfilling quality.

Calculating Standard Pivots

LevelFormulaMeaning
PP (Pivot Point)(H + L + C) / 3Center of the trading range
R1 (Resistance 1)2 × PP − LFirst resistance
R2 (Resistance 2)PP + (H − L)Second resistance
S1 (Support 1)2 × PP − HFirst support
S2 (Support 2)PP − (H − L)Second support

H = yesterday's high, L = yesterday's low, C = yesterday's close

Two Trading Setups

  1. Bounce at pivot: Price approaches PP or S1, shows a reversal candle → long with stop below the level
  2. Breakout through pivot: Price breaks R1 on volume → long targeting R2, stop back below R1

Daily Pivots vs. Weekly Pivots

Daily pivots (calculated from the previous day) suit intraday and swing trading up to 2–3 days. Weekly pivots (calculated from the last trading week) are more relevant for longer swing positions. In TradingView both are available with one click (Indicators → "Pivot Points Standard").

4. Relative Strength — The RS Concept

The RS concept (not to be confused with the RSI indicator) answers a simple question: Is this stock stronger or weaker than the overall market? Buy strength, avoid weakness — that is the fundamental principle of stock selection according to Mansfield and Minervini.

What Is Relative Strength?

The relative strength of a stock is calculated as the ratio of the stock's performance to the index's performance over a given period. When the RS line is rising in the chart, the stock is outperforming the market. A falling RS line signals underperformance — even if the price is rising in absolute terms.

RS LineMeaningTrading Implication
Rising + new highsStock is beating the marketBuy candidate in a strong market
FlatStock is keeping pace with the marketNeutral — there are better candidates
FallingStock is losing ground vs. marketAvoid — it will fall more in a weak market

Connection to the Minervini Trend Template

An RS Rating ≥ 70 is criterion No. 8 of the Minervini Trend Template (Module 6.7). It ensures that a stock qualifies as a Stage-2 candidate only if it is not just in an uptrend, but also outperforming at least 70% of its universe. RS and the Trend Template complement each other: the Template filters for trend structure, RS filters for relative strength.

In TradingView: open two charts side by side (stock + index), or use the "Compare" mode. Many broker tools display the RS line as a separate indicator. IBD (Investor's Business Daily) publishes weekly RS ratings for US stocks.