13.4

🎯 ฟีโบนัชชีและเป้าหมายของคลื่น

ระดับ Retracement สำหรับคลื่น 2 และ 4 ระดับ Extension สำหรับคลื่น 3, 5 และคลื่น C, Time Fibonacci และเซ็ตอัพ Confluence

1. 📐 Fibonacci Retracement Levels for Corrections

Fibonacci retracements identify how far a corrective wave typically pulls back. The levels are based on the Fibonacci sequence and the golden ratio (1.618).

WavePrimary levelSecondary levelsNote
Wave 261.8% of wave 150.0% / 78.6%Deep; may never reach 100% (core rule)
Wave 438.2% of wave 323.6% / 50.0%Shallow; alternates with wave 2 (alternation guideline)
Wave B (zigzag)38.2–78.6% of wave A50.0%May never exceed 100%
Wave B (flat)~100% of wave A105–138% (expanded)Expanded flat: wave B above 100% = warning signal

2. 🎯 Fibonacci Extension Levels for Impulse Waves

Extensions show how far an impulse wave can travel beyond its starting point. Measurement runs from the start of the wave to its end relative to a reference wave.

WaveMeasurement basisPrimary targetExtended targets
Wave 3Length of wave 1, measured from the end of wave 2161.8% of wave 1261.8% / 423.6% (extended markets)
Wave 5Length of wave 1, measured from the end of wave 4100% of wave 1 (equality)61.8% / 161.8% of wave 1
Wave 5 (alternative)Combined length of waves 1+3, measured from the end of wave 461.8% of waves 1+3100% of waves 1+3
Wave CLength of wave A100% of wave A161.8% of wave A

💡 Important: Extensions are ALWAYS measured from the end of the previous correction (not from 0). Wave-3 target: end of wave 2 + 161.8% × length of wave 1.

3. ⏱️ Time Fibonacci (Wave Duration)

Fibonacci ratios apply not only to price but also to time (number of candles/periods):

RatioApplication
Wave 4 ≈ 38.2% of the duration of wave 3Common in trending markets; wave 4 consolidates briefly
Wave 2 ≈ 61.8% of the duration of wave 1For deep zigzag corrections
ABC correction ≈ 38.2–61.8% of the impulse durationTime frame for the entire correction

Time Fibonacci is a complementary filter, not a primary tool. Use it to sanity-check a wave count, not as a sole criterion.

4. 🎯 Fibonacci Confluence Setups

The most powerful Fibonacci levels arise when several measurements from different waves point to the same price area — a confluence zone.

Example confluence setup (wave-3 long):

  1. Wave-2 retracement 61.8% of wave 1 → level at $145.00
  2. Wave-3 extension 161.8% from the end of wave 2 → target at $145.20
  3. Prior resistance level (from the daily chart) → $144.90

→ Confluence zone: $144.90–$145.20. This zone is significantly stronger than any single level.

💡 Rule of thumb: Look for at least two matching Fibonacci levels from different wave measurements. A single Fibonacci level on its own is not a valid setup — only the confluence makes it valuable.