7.0

🛡️ 1R kuralı — İlk risk ayarınız

Tek bir kuruş yatırmadan önce: dünyanın en basit risk kuralı

1. 🛡️ Bu Ne Hakkında?

Let's start with an uncomfortable truth: 95% of beginners lose money not because their analysis is wrong, but because they risk too much per trade. They may even pick the right stocks — but a single oversized losing position is enough to wipe out six good trades. That's not bad luck. That's math.

You may have already come across terms like Kelly Criterion, volatility scaling, or portfolio correlation in other chapters. Those matter — but later. First you need one simple rule that stops you from blowing up your account in the early months.

For starters, you need exactly ONE rule: the 1R rule.
Nothing more. Nothing less. It's the foundation for everything that follows — and it keeps you in the game even if your first ten trades go sideways.

This chapter explains in five sections what 1R is, how you calculate it for your portfolio, and where you actually place your stop-loss. By the end, you'll know exactly how many euros you're allowed to risk per trade — and why.

2. 1R Kuralı Tek Cümlede

1R = the maximum amount you're allowed to lose per trade. Typically this is 1% to 2% of your total portfolio value. The "R" stands for Risk — risk per trade.

The formula is simple enough to do in your head:

  • 1% rule: portfolio value × 0.01
  • 2% rule: portfolio value × 0.02

Example: portfolio = 10,000 €. Then 1R = 100 € (at 1%) or 200 € (at 2%). You may not lose more than that on any single trade. Full stop.

Why 1% to 2%?

The number seems tiny at first glance. "Only risk 100 € on a 10,000 € portfolio? What's the point?" — that's exactly what most beginners think, right before they sign their first blueprint for total loss.

Do the math yourself: with 2% risk per trade you need roughly 35 consecutive losses to lose half your portfolio. With 10% risk per trade, just 7 losses in a row will do it. And once you've lost 50% of your portfolio, you need to double the remaining 50% (+100%!) just to break even. This asymmetry is called drawdown math — more on this in Ch. 6 Trading Practice & Risk.

⚠️ Ground rule: If you can't state in two sentences what 1R is for your portfolio, don't touch any trade. That's the entry barrier — it doesn't get lower than this.

3. Somut Örneklerle Kişisel 1R'ınız

Theory isn't enough. Let's look at what 1R actually looks like for different portfolio sizes:

Portfolio value 1R at 1% 1R at 2% Type
5,000 € 50 € 100 € Starter portfolio
10,000 € 100 € 200 € Standard beginner
25,000 € 250 € 500 € Intermediate

From 1R to position size — the recipe

1R tells you how many euros you can risk. Now you need to translate that into a concrete number of shares. The formula:

Position size = 1R ÷ (entry price − stop price)

Concrete example: Your portfolio is 10,000 €, you use the 1% rule → 1R = 100 €. You want to buy a stock at 50 € and have decided your stop should sit at 45 € (more on that in the next section).

  • Risk per share: 50 € − 45 € = 5 €
  • Maximum position size: 100 € ÷ 5 € = 20 shares
  • Actual capital deployed: 20 × 50 € = 1,000 €

You're putting in 1,000 € — but you're only risking 100 € of that (the distance to the stop). That's the difference between capital deployed and risk. Beginners confuse these two all the time. Remember: your risk is always the distance to the stop times the number of shares — not the total order value.

The tighter your stop, the more shares you can buy for the same 1R. The wider, the fewer. This makes it clear: the stop-loss determines your position size — not the other way around.

4. Stop-Loss: Gerçekten Nereye Koymalı?

A stop-loss is an order that automatically sells when the price falls below a level you've set. It's your "emergency exit" — your commitment to yourself to exit a trade before it ruins your month.

There are three types every beginner should know:

Type How it works For whom?
Stop-market order Once the stop price is reached, the broker immediately sells at the next available market price. ✅ Beginners (guaranteed execution)
Stop-limit order Once stop price X is triggered, a limit order at price Y becomes active. Only fills if the market reaches Y. Intermediate (caution: may not fill in a crash!)
Mental stop You remember the stop price and execute the sell manually. ❌ Not for beginners (discipline trap)
Recommendation for starters: Use a stop-market order. This ensures your trade actually gets closed, even if the price crashes. A mental stop sounds flexible — but in practice it doesn't work, because emotions take over at the moment of loss ("just wait a little longer, maybe it'll turn around").

In practice with Interactive Brokers (IBKR)

With IBKR you can use a bracket order: you place your entry, stop-loss, and an optional profit target all at once. Once the entry is filled, the stop and target orders are automatically active. Very convenient — and you can close your laptop after placing the order without nervously staring at the chart.

Other brokers (Trade Republic, Scalable Capital, comdirect) have similar features: "OCO order", "combination order", or "bracket". The mechanics are the same everywhere.

⚠️ Stop-loss is not 100% protection: When gaps occur overnight or over the weekend, the opening price can be well below your stop. In that case, the sale happens at the opening price — and you lose more than 1R. This is rare, but it happens. Stop-loss protects you in ~90% of cases. For the remaining 10% you need diversification (see Ch. 6).

Where do I place the stop technically?

The stop distance should come from the chart, not from wishful thinking. Typical anchor points:

  • Below a support level (recent weekly/monthly low)
  • Below a moving average (e.g. the 50-day line)
  • At a fixed percentage distance (e.g. −7% from entry — simple but rough)

More on technical stop placement in Ch. 3 Chart Analysis. For your very first trade, a percentage-based stop is perfectly fine — the important thing is that you have one at all.

5. 1R Kuralından Sonra Derinleşme

Congratulations — if you've read this far, you're already in the top 5% of beginners who actually know what 1R is. In summary:

  • ✅ You know your 1R in euros (portfolio × 1% or 2%).
  • ✅ You know how to calculate your position size from 1R and stop distance.
  • ✅ You know the stop-loss types and why a stop-market order is the right choice for beginners.
  • ✅ You know the limits of stops (gaps & crashes).

Where to go next?

  • Mathematical depth: Ch. 6 Trading Practice & Risk goes deeper into the Kelly Criterion, drawdown recovery, volatility scaling, diversification, and portfolio correlation. That's your next big step once 1R is solid.
  • Chart skills: Ch. 3 Chart Analysis shows you how to read support and resistance levels — essential for good stop placement.
  • Psychology: Ch. 4 Mindset explains why you should never move your stop after a trade goes against you. The three real stories there are required reading.
  • Interested in options: Once you've mastered stocks, it's worth exploring Ch. 9.0 Options Introduction (in development). Options aren't a beginner topic — but once 1R is second nature, they're a powerful tool.

One final tip: Before you read on, write down your personal 1R amount on a piece of paper right now and pin it to your monitor. Every trade starts with a look at that number. Always.